How not to tackle Trump

[Modi & Trump]

Canadian PM Mark Carney caused a sonic boom at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, last week by deflating US President Donald J Trump without much ceremony. He called a spade a shovel, told Trump where to get off, and won rousing acclaim from everyone for showing the gall that leaders of other countries, who have been at the receiving end of Trump’s increasingly wayward, intentionally hurtful, policies, have gritted their teeth but shied away from doing. Carney also laid out a road map for those countries that fear they cannot do without the US on their side and without Trump’s benevolence. He advised Middle Powers to cast aside complacency, and come together to mind their trade and security and to thwart “American hegemony”.

It was an extraordinary address because it broke through the barrier of fear and reticence of confronting America. Particularly, for Canada because the US accounts for 77% of Canada’s goods exports, 46% of total foreign direct investment, and over 60% of Canada’s merchandise trade (per 2023-2024 figures). If despite such US stranglehold on his country’s economy, Carney stomped on Trump and dared him to do his worst, it shows that Ottawa has had it with Trump and his unending shenanigans — a sentiment evidenced in the speeches by European leaders who followed Carney, such as the German Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, and President Emmanuel Macron in Paris who warned the US about the European Union retaliating with a trade “bazooka”, and by an European legislator who in parliament told Trump “to f***k off”!

Even as the Davos meet ended, a bunch of European NATO members, perceiving a serious military danger from Trump, airlifted troops to Nuuk to show solidarity with a Danish military contingent deployed for the defence of Greenland against America, indicating just how radically the security situation has changed, resulting in NATO, along with the liberal, rules-based, international order, coming apart. In Carney’s words — “We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition” — a phrase that sounded the gong on the prevailing disorder. (If you haven’t heard Carney’s Davos speech, do so — it is stunning in its eloquence and refreshing in its unvarnished view of the current international affairs. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=izDAOvHz5Wc )

Further, as if to show that Canada and the world had economic alternatives, Carney sought rapprochement with China, slashing the 60%+ tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles to 6% as a curtain raiser to a possible trade agreement with Beijing. A discombobulated Trump, used to foreign leaders letting him walk all over them, and shaken by Carney’s unexpected and devastating onslaught, threatened, what else, 100% tariffs. Ho hum!

Less exposed than Canada but visciously targeted by Trump with 50% tariffs, India ended up doing a bit of what Carney recommended. Its exporters found alternative markets for their wares but this trend did not motivate Delhi to up the ante and, in callibrated fashion, pull away from America. Buckling under pressure, it chose instead to comply, acquiescing in Trump’s demand to stop the buys of Russian oil. The Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air reports a 29% month-on-month drop in the Indian offtake of Russian energy.

Restraint is unlikely to earn India and Narendra Modi any respite, because Trump will only pile on more pressure because, alone among large countries, it succumbed. A bully will not relent unless the bullied stands up to him — the reason for Carney and even the British PM Keith Starmer growing a spine, and then he will slink away. As Trump has time and again done when confronting a Putin or a Kim Jong-un, and now Carney.

The former BJP Rajya Sabha MP Swapan Dasgupta somewhat optimistically thinks the stereotype of the Hindu as “mild” and “patient” that Swami Vivekananda decried, has been replaced by Modi’s “assertive” Indian, and that India has acquired a more aggressive persona. If so, this change is nowhere reflected in the country’s America policy. In fact, the Modi government’s non-reactive, submissive attitude will only impel Trump to heap more scorn and humiliation on Modi and the country.

So far the Narendra Modi dispensation has studiously avoided saying or doing anything (Re: Trump projects — 50% tariffs, Venezuela, “Board of Peace” for Gaza, FTA under negotiation) that it fears would aggravate already bad relations. The external affairs minister (EAM) S Jaishankar, on his part, limited himself in this period to his politically safe and favourite schtick of dumping on terrorism and Pakistan, and getting passing foreign dignitaries to nod sympathetically. Thus, we had the Polish and the Spanish foreign ministers clucking censoriously even as Islamabad, on US instructions, funnels Pakistan Ordnance Board-produced artillery shells and small arms ammunition to Ukraine through the Warsaw-Kyiv rail link. And, just as futilely, the EAM has been plugging multilateralism from every available forum when it is actually on its last legs, just as the United Nations is. It proves that, as always, Delhi is the last in the station to know that the train it had long hoped to ride first class in, has gone off the rails. More generally, the Indian government seems to not even understand anymore what matters in international affairs, or even what the currency of exchange is. Psst.. it is hard power! Like in the good old days of gunboat diplomacy!

The rest of the world seems to have grasped this reality. And is responding as Carney, Merz and other European leaders did at Davos, including the President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen, all of whom said the old order is gone, never to return, and called for “independence” from the US, for military self-sufficiency, and for seeing the old style alliance as a vehicle for national subordination. They also agree on genuine free trade agreements as the solution, with von der Leyen referring to the FTA with India to be announced this Republic Day week as potentially the most economically potent agreement EU is signing.

Then there is Modi’s India, that still believes America is the answer to its prayer, when Trump has made it abundantly clear that he is contemptuous of Modi and his pretensions, and that he’d take every opportunity to kick India in the teeth. But that’s the sum and substance of Modi-Jaishankar’s “three monkeys” US policy — see nothing, hear nothing, say nothing, verily fitting into Carney’s box of states that “go along to get along”. Delhi seems entirely oblivious to, or completely in sync with, the truism the Canadian leader also mouthed that “Sovereignty is the ability to withstand pressure”. What we are, therefore, witnessing is the Indian government’s determination to make good on relations with the US even if as an appendage, notwithstanding the traditional ally-appendages in Europe seeking an escape from thralldom.

It suggests that there is no one in the Indian government that can read Washington, or indeed Beijing. Because, if there were, in fact, somebody of note, Delhi would not step repeatedly into traps set by the US (civilian nuclear deal, Op Sindoor, technology transfer, free trade agreement) and China (LAC, trade imbalance), and look foolish. Sure, the commentariat has finally woken up to the perils of proximity to the US, but warnings had been repeatedly and consistently issued by this analyst in his books, blog, and other writings over the past 30 years about an absolutely unreliable America that Delhi needs to deal carefully with.

A deeper understanding of a foreign country comes from spending a lot of time there. But where America is concerned, there is no one in the government — not a single person that I know of, who has resided there for any length of time (Jaishankar pulled a short 3-year stint as political counsellor in the Washington embassy in the mid-1980s), and can leaven policy discussions within establishment circles with any special insights. Our diplomats and civil servants are like Indian academics and media persons — acquainted with America in arranged settings (official interaction, university and think tank seminars and conferences, or US State Department-hosted tours, and the like) that leave them dazzled, and yearning to somehow relocate there or, better still, to get their progeny settled with green cards!

From the enduring Indian national interest perspective, what Trump has done is to be welcomed! He has clarified the options for the Modi regime by closing the H1B visa gate for techies and prospective Silicon Valley millionaires, and the daily news of Indians getting shot, mugged, or harrassed, has put the NRI community on notice. The overconfidence of the Indian settler in the pre-MAGA days led to excesses. Such as the 90-foot-tall statue of Lord Hanuman, dubbed by some over-clever NRIs who installed it, as the “Statue of Union” in Sugar Land, Texas. Besides being considered an eyesore by the enraged local Texans, it is a goad for the Christian Nationalists of the American south and southwest that make up the MAGA flock. So far they have restricted themselves to mocking the Monkey God, reviling Hindus as savages, Hinduism as satanic, and Hindu religious symbols as an affront to Christianity. Soon they may take a hammer to the statue, and run the Indians out of the town.

The US east and west coasts are considered relatively liberal. But so was Texas until recently, whence the large NRI community in Houston, say. The upside is that the pesky Khalistani element among the Sikh Americans has gone quiet, and will stay quiet. After all, they can’t tell when Trump and MAGA will turn fully on them, and they may need Delhi’s support. As it is, the turbaned Sikhs are in the same category as the Hanuman statue — a magnet for the crazies to beat up on “bin Laden” look-alikes. Just as the red tika on sari-ed women’s foreheads, in the 1990s, drew the skinheads into physically attacking them in New Jersey.

What Messrs Modi, Jaishankar, et al, have not learned is that Trumpian transactionalism is not some stumble that will pass in 2029, but here to stay as the new pillar of American foreign policy. Delhi can still strike a deal here, a bargain there, if the price is right, and here Modi, to earn goodwill, has gone overboard with a spate of government-to-government deals for assorted military hardware and weapons platforms. But, rather, by its very nature, transactionalism will lead only to more transactions, not to what Modi had hoped — some grand scheme of comprehensive cooperation organically linking India to the US through intermeshed economies and the large NRI community in America, to stabilise South Asia, Asia and the Indo-Pacific!

With the FTA with the EU round the corner — what with von der Leyen and her colleagues as special guests at tomorrow’s Republic Day parade, I fear a disappointed Modi government will now think the EU will be what the US failed to be, and fall with relief into the European lap, to be as thoroughly exploited this time by the Europeans!

Unknown's avatar

About Bharat Karnad

Senior Fellow in National Security Studies at the Centre for Policy Research, New Delhi, he was Member of the (1st) National Security Advisory Board and the Nuclear Doctrine-drafting Group, and author, among other books of, 'Nuclear Weapons and Indian Security: The Realist Foundations of Strategy', 'India's Nuclear Policy' and most recently, 'Why India is Not a Great Power (Yet)'. Educated at the University of California (undergrad and grad), he was Visiting Scholar at Princeton University, University of Pennsylvania, the Shanghai Institutes of International Studies, and Henry L. Stimson Center, Washington, DC.
This entry was posted in arms exports, asia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific, Asian geopolitics, China, civil-military relations, Culture, Decision-making, Defence procurement, domestic politics, Europe, Geopolitics, geopolitics/geostrategy, Great Power imperatives, India's China Policy, India's Pakistan Policy, India's strategic thinking and policy, Indian Air Force, Indian Army, Indian ecobomic situation, Indian Navy, Indian Ocean, Indo-Pacific, Internal Security, MEA/foreign policy, Military Acquisitions, Military/military advice, nonproliferation, North Korea, Pakistan, Pakistan military, Russia, sanctions, society, South Asia, Strategic Relations with the US & West, Technology transfer, technology, self-reliance, Terrorism, Trade with China, UN, United States, US., war & technology, Weapons and tagged , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

53 Responses to How not to tackle Trump

  1. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @BharatKarnad This blog post of yours was a pleasure to read.

    Why should we even care as to what Trump is doing to the West, the EU, the NATO and the rest of the world?

    Shouldn’t we as India and as Indians enjoy what is being done to them after all that we have been subjected to buy them?

    After all, revenge is a dish best served cold.

  2. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @BharatKarnad Let me make it crystal clear in the beginning of this comment that I’m not seeking credit or trying to blow my trumpet.

    You’ve mentioned three monkeys in this blog post of yours. Is this your own as in it came as a flow, something natural and apt for this blog post?

    Or as previously acknowledged by you in one of your comments, that you’ve taken note of a reader’s comment for your upcoming book.

    I ask this, because I included three monkeys in my comment as Gandhiji’s three monkeys at https://bharatkarnad.com/2026/01/15/indian-air-force-the-most-luckless-air-force-in-the-world/#comment-80130.

    • The 3 monkeys is an old, much used metaphor here used for the country’s US policy (unlike your use — “The IAF, the IN and the GOI are now like Gandhiji’s three monkeys”).

  3. Raj Yadav's avatar Raj Yadav says:

    Sir in your article from earlier on FTA with UK you mentioned that we surrendered our digital sovereignty, is it the same case with the EU FTA? Can you explain the gain and loss in this FTA?

  4. Sanjiv's avatar Sanjiv says:

    Good afternoon thanks for very informative and interesting write ups

    I await your articles with interest

    I just want you to clarify one thing you may remember you wrote an Article in the HT in October 1978.

    You criticised the Purchase of the Jaguar for the DPSA contract and wanted to purchase a 1000 Mig23/27 for the same cost

    it taking into account the maintenance, fuel and pilot costs

    You also insisted in your article and in a reply that Pakistan had Roland SAM which was incorrect.

    You did not recommend the Mirage F1 M53 which was the only other viable choice

    I would be grateful if you clarify your thought process.

    I do agree about your Judgment on Herman Balck I have read Order in Chaos many a time in English and German

    • I remember what I write and can’t do so recommending MiG 23/27. I began contributing to HT only in end-1979. You may be referring to an India Today column — the magazine had just begun publishing around then, on the Jaguar purchase. It argued that this aircraft was far from a deep penetration and strike aircraft and that in reality it could either penetrate deep OR strike hard, not do both at the same time — an assessment that was on the button!

      My admiration for Hermann Balck — the finest German Panzer battlefield leader of WWII was featured in my obituary for the greatest Indian armoured commander, General Hanut Singh.

      • Nuclear General's avatar Nuclear General says:

        @BharatKarnad

        Ahh lt gen Hanut singh Rathore .The hero of basantar.He was denied the position of the army chief

        and infact its on record he says “If they don’t want me its their loss”

        I consider him and Sagat singh as the finest generals and armoured warfare commander ever produced by the military

        have you met him professor ?

      • Absolutely correct abaout Sagat and Hanut. On my personal interaction with Hanut, read my obit on the late General posted on this blog at https://bharatkarnad.com/2015/04/14/the-great-hanut-rip/

      • Nuclear General's avatar Nuclear General says:

        @BharatKarnad

        Thank you so much professor karnad .What a wonderful obit. Really touched by it. My salaam to the Great hanut

        but the main question here is before passing away the late general said that

        There’s no armrd commander in the army”, he had declared, “who can visualize a battlefield beyond the regimental level”

        is it still true today as of 2026?. Or have things become better?

  5. Email from Lt General Arun Sahni (Retd), former commander South West Command

    Sun, Jan 25 at 10:08 PM

    Thanks Bharat,

    As always blunt and to the point.

    Best Wishes

    Arun Sahni

  6. Tarun Nair's avatar Tarun Nair says:

    This blog post was a pleasure to read !! Most Indian analysts seem clueless quite frankly. One analyst was praising the deal between Syria’s jihadist turned President Ahmed Al Sharaa and the SDF as path breaking. The Syrian Govt forces attacked the Kurds the next day !! Are these analysts just useless or is there something else going on behind the scenes ?

    I think Swapan Dasgupta is wrong about Hindus being meek & mild-mannered. The Hindu peasant-warrior communities (Rajputs, Jats, Gujjars, Ahirs, Marathas, Kurmis, Nairs, Reddys, Naidus etc) are not meek at all and they make up the bulk of Hindu society. Only Brahmins & Banias can be described as mild and that is for obvious reasons. They, along with Kayasthas & Khatris are mostly the ones who migrate abroad & that’s why Hindus are stereotyped as mild. There is a video on IG where a couple of Haryanvi Jats beat the crap out of some Khalistanis when they mocked Hinduism and made them post a grovelling video saying they respect Hindu gods. Nothing meek about that !!

  7. Shivam's avatar Shivam says:

    Professor , Nuclearisation of Japan and Korea seems inevitable in next 3-4 years ,if this debacle drags more ,even if they don’t announce it , but they are gonna have it .

  8. jketh's avatar jketh says:

    This timidity of being oneself has brought all this humiliations on Indians.Why its always Indians that have to try to fit in to western frameworks and make ourself acceptable to west.Indian state can go ahead and start with blocking whatsapp its maximum usage is by Indians. Americans use snapchat.Its not the fault of ordinary folks if our elites are timid and belive in sucking upto west.I have never seen such kind of guilt in Muslims or even Whites who go around invading other countries and settting up militiary bases which are infamous for prostitution,drug abuse.Infact i wish the NRI double down build more statues and organise themself politically.
    Its the Indian elites who are unambitious and meek not Indians .May be we should adopt to using same political vigour in international geopolitics that we follow domestically.

  9. frankidrw2's avatar frankidrw2 says:

    Sir Carney just backed down from his rhetoric…

    Canada-China trade deal is on hold after Trump threatened him.

    May be your analysis is wrong.

    We should wait for US midterm election.

  10. Nuclear General's avatar Nuclear General says:

    @BharatKarnad

    what a tragedy the present generation doesn’t even know about him

    Last december someone on reddit made a post on sagat and hanut . And the platform is mostly filled with teenagers commenting

    95 percent of young audiences didn’t even know a thing about these 2 great generals.

    ohk lets keep this aside but this one makes me sad

    Hanut Singh dishonoured

    such a great general and there is no one in the army’s top brass who can speak 2 words for him.Shame!

    there is no famous dedicated book either of hanut or sagat that is present on internet

    what we see here is how the some officers of the army want to systematically erase the achievements and memories of both hanut and sagat from the army

    According to you why is that professor if i may ask ?

     

  11. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @BharatKarnad I hope that you will please excuse me for asking what might seem like an unrelated question to you with regards to this blog post of yours.

    This is what the IDF has posted on X, 14 hours ago, https://x.com/IDF/status/2015784460394913944.

    Does this now mean that Israel will throw Trump’s so-called Board of Peace under the bus and bomb the hell out of Hamas in Palestine and Hezbollah in Lebanon to completely disarm and obliterate both these two Islamic/Muslim terrorist groups who are also supported by Iran?

    I think Israel has said in the past that it doesn’t always act in the USA’s interests.

  12. Krishna Soni's avatar Krishna Soni says:

    Namaste @BharatKarnad sir, can the India–EU defence pact be useful in increasing India’s defence exports to the EU?”

    • Chattur Chamaar's avatar Chattur Chamaar says:

      @Soni, India exporting defence equipment to EU? Hard to even imagine this scenario.

      India-EU trade deal is nothing short of a hype. EU spirits and beers still face an uphill tariff of 40 & 50% respectively furthermore EU job market is aligned totally in favor of EU citizens compared to non EU ones.

  13. Email from Harish

    Thu, Jan 29 at 1:36 AM

    Sir,

    Not only is yours the go-to blog on security affairs, but the comments section is also quite engaging. 

    I hope you will discourage attention-seekers who are posting repetitive comments lately by not responding to them.

    The comments section should not lose its high standards.

    Regards,

    Harish 

  14. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @BharatKarnad What do you make of the discombobulator weapon that Trump has mentioned and as read at https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/not-allowed-to-talk-about-the-discombobulator-what-is-the-secret-weapon-that-trump-used-to-capture-maduro-in-venezuela/amp_articleshow/127532954.cms?

    Old wine in a new bottle? Jamming? Reverse Engineering a weapon that was allegedly used against US personnel? The US reverse engineered the Iranian Shahed-136 kamikaze drone into a clone named Lucas.

    Note: I find it as a coincidence that you used the word discombobulated in this January 25, 2026 blog post about Trump and the next day on January 26, 2026, there’s a The Times of India news report about him talking about a US weapon named discombobulator.

    • Venezuelans in the presidential compound are reported as having suddenly felt nauseous, which suggests a very high frequency sound wave generator. But the discombobulator Trump mentioned, by his own reference points, harks to electronic injection of a bug in the Venezuelan military and presidential guard’s command and control communications network.

      • V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

        @BharatKarnad If America can electronically inject a bug into the Venezuelan military and presidential guard’s C2 network, does this make all C2 networks sold by America to others even more vulnerable?

        I say this because in many of the exercises that they do with other nations also include interoperability.

        An additional point with regards to C2 networks.

        In your Sangam Talks video from 6 years ago, you mentioned that the Taiwanese are ready to offer their knowledge of the Chinese grid to India, although not for free, if I may so say so, based on my recollection of viewing that video, have they offered it to others like the Americans and Russians who might be interested in it?

      • Whether Taiwan offered it to others, who knows.

  15. Vikram Singh's avatar Vikram Singh says:

    Prof Karnad, you have the well-deserved reputation as an anti-China hawk. From that perspective, how do you opine regarding the ongoing turmoil within the top bracket of the Chinese military and the many purges by Xi dismissing more than 90% of CMC generals? More crucially, don’t you think this could be a golden opportunity for India to initiate a military op to recover the lost territories and settle the land dispute once and for all?

  16. dhairya221b's avatar dhairya221b says:

    A few people are saying this, how much of it is true Professer?

  17. Mr. A's avatar Mr. A says:

    @BharatKarnad

    Why isn’t there quality output from Indian Think Tanks like IDSA,USI,CLAWS,CAPS , ORF ,etc about the dealing with trump tariffs, geopolitics , history and other such matters of national importance . How to fix it ? Your Underlined this problem in your 2014 book why india is not a great power(yet) but you didn’t suggest any solutions .

    • Why India Is Not a Great Power (Yet) was published in 2015, pre-Trump. And the book is full of geostrategic and other solutions for national security and foreign policy ills afflicting India. Not sure what book you read! May be you should read it once again.

      • Mr. A's avatar Mr. A says:

        Dr Karnad , what i meant was that disruptive ideas and out box solutions that are found in your books are not produced by these think tanks even though they have far resources like money , man power ,access to corridors of power, etc compared to an independent researcher like you. So how can we fix the Indian Think Tank Scene ?

      • Look, these are, one way or another, either govt-funded think tanks or orgs (such as Observer Research Foundation) supported by corporations (like Reliance) that cannot do without the govt’s beneficence. Can these entities be expected to question govt policies and programmes?

  18. Mr. A's avatar Mr. A says:

    @BharatKarnad

    Slightly off topic , but in recent times we hear a lot about Naxalites/Maoist Fighters surrendering to the Indian States. Sir, these fighters are ruthless, nimble , agile and strategic minded who live off the jungle. How about we create an Indian version of Long Range Reconnaissance Patrols(LRPS) that were used by the Americans in Vietnam in the 70’s and put these guys in it. Then use this naxalite-LRPS in J&K and the North East(Manipur) against terrorist groups and rebels.

    A Controversial thing to say but these Naxalites/Maoist are better than our special forces guys(Just recently a Special Forces soldier in Kishtwar Area of J&K was taken out by J-e-m millitants in a Gun fight !!). Making these guys join monotonous civilian life would be an utter wastage of their skillset.

  19. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @BharatKarnad In your interview to Preity Üpala, you said that 92% of our foreign service members have their children in America, as seen at https://youtu.be/BNFqmqpfcNI.

    S. Jaishankar’s son, Dhruva Jaishankar describes himself in his X profile bio as Executive Director, ORF America as seen at https://x.com/d_jaishankar.

    ORF America as per its X profile bio as seen at https://x.com/orfamerica is the overseas affiliate of ORFOnline, which in turn is the username of ORF on X as seen at https://x.com/orfonline.

    So, does this mean that S. Jaishankar and Dhruva Jaishankar are beholden to Mukesh Ambani/RIL and America?

      • V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

        I think that S. Jaishankar and his son, Dhruva Jaishankar, are beholden to Mukesh Ambani/RIL and America [as Dhruva heads the Washington office of the Reliance-funded Observer Research Foundation].

        I also think this is what is termed as a conflict of interest in the professional/corporate/government worlds.

        I also think that there should be bar/ban of anyone wanting to apply for any job in government, be it local, state, union territory, central/federal jobs, to to not have any such conflict of interest and also not have any acquaintances, friends, family members, relatives who is a/are NRI, PIO/OCI holder and foreign national.

  20. Nuclear Missile's avatar Aditya Mishra says:

    @BharatKarnad

    Professor i would like to bring you attention on this recently published article .Its title is “Naravane’s Moment of Truth”An army chief’s unpublished memoir exposes how the Modi government spun the China border crisis.Here is the link

    https://caravanmagazine.in/security/navarane-memoir-ladakh-crisis

    It’s a paid article but i somehow bypassed it here is the entire article. You may read it

    LIEUTENANT GENERAL YOGESH JOSHI, the chief of the Indian Army’s Northern Command, received a phone call at 8.15 pm on 31 August 2020. The information he received alarmed him. Four Chinese tanks, supported by infantry, had begun moving up a steep mountain track towards Rechin La in eastern Ladakh. Joshi reported the movement to the chief of army staff, General Manoj Mukund Naravane, who immediately grasped the severity of the situation. The tanks were within a few hundred metres of Indian positions on the Kailash Range, the strategic high ground that Indian forces had seized, hours earlier, in a dangerous race with China’s People’s Liberation Army. In this terrain on the disputed Line of Actual Control-the de facto border between the two countries-every metre of elevation translates to strategic dominance.

    The Indian soldiers fired an illuminating round, a kind of warning shot. It had no effect. The Chinese kept advancing. Naravane began making frantic calls to the leaders of India’s political and military establishment, including Rajnath Singh, the defence minister; Ajit Doval, the national security advisor; General Bipin Rawat, the chief of defence staff; and S Jaishankar, the minister of external affairs. “To each and every one my question was, ‘What are my orders?” Naravane writes in his as-yet-unpublished memoir, Four Stars of Destiny.

    The situation was deteriorating dramatically and demanded clarity. There was an existing protocol. Naravane had clear orders not to open fire “till cleared from the very top.” His superiors did not give any clear directive. Minutes ticked by. At 9.10 pm, Joshi called again. The Chinese tanks continued to advance and were now less than a kilometre from the pass. At 9.25 pm, Naravane called Rajnath again, asking “for clear directions.” None came.

    What does this episode reveal about the absence of a clear political decision-making chain during fast-moving military crises?

    Should an Army Chief in a live battlefield situation literally beg for political clearance to fire.

    Had it been a Chinese commander, he would have ordered the incoming tanks to be taken out without seeking permission from his political masters.

    i would like to know your views on this particular incident of galwan crisis.The chain of command

  21. Nuclear Missile's avatar Aditya Mishra says:

    @BharatKarnad

    An extension of my previous comment on general naravne galwan crisis –

    It’s a great tactic because if it works, then they can claim credit by saying that they gave the military a blank cheque and full political support, hence the military won. If the military can’t win, then they can shrug off the responsibility, say that they gave all the support, but the military couldn’t perform operationally and thus not their fault.

    So that if things went awry, they could shift the blame onto Narvane and make him a scapegoat.

    What do you think sir Also they haven’t allowed naravne to publish his memoir book as of now

    • Yup, that’show it works.

      • V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

        @BharatKarnad If going by what seems to be the case with the retired COAS, why would anyone want to serve India in the military or anywhere in the government?

        To me, with due respect to everyone, it is a case of damned if you do and damned if you don’t!

        Then, in such a case, all the talks about Viksit Bharat, 2047, Vishwaguru and all are just words, if people aren’t empowered and accountability isn’t there!

      • Nuclear Missile's avatar Aditya Mishra says:

        @V.Ganesh

        that has always been the case there is no accountability

    • Chattur Chamaar's avatar Chattur Chamaar says:

      @ Mishra- You found a nice article however, the ruckus created by Shah and Rajnath in the Parliament yesterday when Rahul raised up the same matter yesterday shows that Navarne’s book will never receive the permission and clearance from the Indian establishment.

      Political power grows out of the barrel of a gun a phrase and slogan which was coined by Chinese communist leader and founder Mao Zedong.

      It’s crystal clear now that no political party or politician across India possess the blueprint or vision for national progress and prosperity. They all have only one agenda which is to cling on to power and enrich themselves.

      An apt example of the aforementioned is Congress party. Approximately 90% of the Congressis have joined BJP to save their loot and escape the agencies like ED and CBI.

      Indian army is to be blamed itself for not yielding its true strength. Look at the neighboring Pakistan there all the politicians remain under the shoes of their army unlike India where the Indian army personnel shanelessly stand with folded hands infront of Indian politicians.

  22. V.Ganesh's avatar V.Ganesh says:

    @AdityaMishra With regards to accountability, sad, but, true.

    Even the courts seemed like a saviour, but, that isn’t the case, going by the recent verdict in the 2024 Pune hit-and-run case.

    Only God can save India!

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