The Pannun Affair reveals a penetrated Indian government communications system, and the atmnirbharta policy as a joke

[BJP protest: that’s Pannun on the poster]

The critical and most worrying aspect of the Gurmeet Singh Nijjar and Gurpatwant Singh Pannun episodes that no one is paying attention to is just how deeply and extensively the US has penetrated the Indian government’s communications network and thoroughly compromised it. It is doubtful if even the most secret discussions in Cabinet meetings and in the Prime Minister’s Office are safe from the prying eyes and ears of the US National Security Agency (NSA), leave alone Indian embassies in North America and, perhaps, elsewhere.

NSA operates the largest constellation of satellites in low and high earth orbits, and maintains continuous worldwide electronic surveillance generating tons of elecronic intelligence daily. Only Russia and China have erected formidable electronic/cyber barriers to protect at least the communications networks carrying their most highly classified information and data. The NSA, incidentally, has the highest funding priority of any American intelligence agencies, its budget in hundreds of billions of dollars. The bulk of the analysing is done by CIA, among other intelligence receipients, of the raw NSA data. Incidentally, the largest CIA spend is on analysing incoming NSA and other data and information.

Pressed by the US not to reveal the electronic channels or to compromise the NSA means through which the intercepts were received is, in fact, the reason why the Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has not onpassed “evidence” that New Delhi has demanded about the alleged Indian official complicity in the killing of Nijjar. This bit of intelligence was given by the US to Ottawa under the “Five Eyes” intelligence sharing arrangement. If disclosed it would disclose to the Indian government the weaknesses in the Indian communications system or, much worse, pinpoint the mole inside the Indian High Commission as the source. Canada does not have the technical capability to monitor such communications traffic by itself. The US does, and cued the Trudeau dispensation to the contents of telephone calls the RAW station chief supposedly had with whosoever was on the outside.

It is curious the Modi regime has not denied an Indian government role in the conspiracy that Washington claims to have foiled to do in America a Nijjar to the Khalistani troublemaker Pannun who conveniently enjoys dual citizenship of the US and Canada, leaving him free to do mischief in both countries, and in the UK. Why hasn’t Delhi demanded details from the US government as it did from Trudeau? Doesn’t GOI want to know just how the US became aware of this supposed plot, and through which channels, and why the Americans are so confident about their accusation? Where’s the evidence? And was it generated by NSA/CIA/DIA or some other agency, or is it, as likely as not, another American mole at work in the Indian embassy on Massachusetts Avenue in Washington?

It is important for Indians to know. After all, it was not very long ago that the Head of RAW’s Counter-Intelligence Operations (!!!) — a Rabinder Singh (if I recall the name right), was identified as being on CIA’s payroll. Before he could be nabbed, he was spirited away by the Americans — with not a little help from Indian insiders — to Kathmandu, and flown to New York city, where last heard he was reportedly living safe and sound, presumably on the CIA’s dime.

In the context of a thoroughly exposed and vulnerable Indian official system, PMO was apprised by the US of what it had by way of irrefutable evidence. It may explain New Delhi’s cagey response, promising investigation and punitive action regarding the Pannun affair, something Trudeau was unable to draw from Delhi in the Nijjar case.

The more serious issue New Delhi and the Indian public ought to worry about is whether the Indian government has any secrets at all worth leaking? Or, is it taken for granted by Indian agencies that Washington is privy to any and all communications within the government between PMO, RAW and other intelligence units, MEA, Home Ministry, are tapped 24/7/365 (366 in leap years!)? Is this an uncomfortable reality the Indian government has to live with?

Such communications surveillance and monitoring, moreover, is facilitated also by the fact that the entire Indian official network, like the commercial mobile telephony infrastructure, is based fully on imported hardware and, run by foreign software.

This last is a problem a few of us have been futilely squawking about for years, and which SITARA (Science, Indigenous Technology and Advanced Research Accelerator) — a pioneering organisation founded and run by retired ambassador Smita Purshottam and engaged in yeoman service to the nation, has majorly flagged. It has repeatedly warned the PMO and other departments of the government at the highest levels, of the national security perils of relying on foreign communications gear with frame embedded bugs and on malware infested imported software.

SITARA has had the occasional success. But, by and large, the various departments and ministries of the government seem unconcerned about the perils of purchasing whole European, Chinese and American systems and associated hardware, and usually Western software driving them, because the inherent dangers are not fully appreciated by those in authority. And this, mind you, despite the availability of safe, protected, indigenous counterpart tech of high quality. This is so eggregiously wrong an attitude and policy it boggles the mind, making one wonder if the government willfully makes itself vulnerable, its atmnirbharta rhetoric so much farce!

The fact is the Indian government and its myriad agencies, including the Indian military, despite all the evidence, continue to trust Indian technology, talent and industry IMMENSELY LESS than they do foreign tech, countries and suppliers. This despite Indian firms, mostly MSMEs, having developed fantastically advanced communications technologies and algorithms. And this despite being aware of the trouble such procurement policies can cause with all government communications being open secrets to the US and the West, and to China.

Now try conducting a half-way effective foreign policy when the parties you deal with are all in the know of the nuts and bolts of it!

Despite some little awareness of this fatal weakness in some sections of some ministries, the Indian government has NOT holistically addressed it, nor sought comprehensive solutions to zero out the risk . The problem has to be tackled on a warfooting. The government needs to invest massively in the private sector MSMEs and other tech innovators, producers and manufacturers in the country such that the necessary communictions wherewithal is entirely, completely and certifiably of Indian origin.

India, right now, has standout Indian startups that have already invented, patented and produced elements for a potential 6G photonic communications system using light quanta to carry voice, information, and data. They are pleading for investment, and custom from the government, but find themselves beating their heads against a stone wall. And then there are Indian companies, like Reliance Communications, which imported Nokia hardware from Finland in crates for their Jio mobile telephony service and labeled it indigenous, who enjoy the Indian government’s largesse!

SITARA has been informing and canvassing with the PMO, Department of telecommunications, et al, for funds for these small tech innovation companies to integrate their various technologies into a prototype system for the GOI departments to test. But the government appears disinterested, apparently stuck in the global-free trade stream of thinking — that more advanced countries long ago trashed.

It has compelled many brilliant but frustrated Indian talents to shift their small ventures (that I know of) to Singapore and Silicon Valley, with US firms, like Qualcom, running after them, offering technology development facilities, a de-bureaucratised business ecosystem, investment capital, and undertakings to buy their cutting edge technologies.

In this dismal scene we can be certain of one thing though: Once these technologies are fully developed and mature, they will be offered for worldwide sale in a few short years, and come back to India with the California cachet and the Silicon Valley stamp, whence the Indian government and the Indian military and hundreds of official agencies and units will scamper after them, ready to fork out thousands of billions of Indian taxpayers’ dollars in hard currency!

Such are the contours of the latest saga of technology development unfolding as tragedy in India.

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About Bharat Karnad

Senior Fellow in National Security Studies at the Centre for Policy Research, New Delhi, he was Member of the (1st) National Security Advisory Board and the Nuclear Doctrine-drafting Group, and author, among other books of, 'Nuclear Weapons and Indian Security: The Realist Foundations of Strategy', 'India's Nuclear Policy' and most recently, 'Why India is Not a Great Power (Yet)'. Educated at the University of California (undergrad and grad), he was Visiting Scholar at Princeton University, University of Pennsylvania, the Shanghai Institutes of International Studies, and Henry L. Stimson Center, Washington, DC.
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13 Responses to The Pannun Affair reveals a penetrated Indian government communications system, and the atmnirbharta policy as a joke

  1. Email from Ambassador Smita Purshottam, IFS (Retd), SITARA

    Wed, 29 Nov at 5:07 pm

    Thanks Bharat for mentioning our efforts.

    • Blindspot's avatar Blindspot says:

      why has government sidelined all these concerns ? Is it due to compromised bureaucracy or due to compromised policy making

  2. Amit's avatar Amit says:

    Professor,

    The issue at hand is complex as there are multiple opinions about India in the U.S. The DoD wants a deep military relationship with India while the DoS has factions. Frankly, the Pannun issue is not really a big deal and is likely a desperate attempt by the anti India faction in the U.S. to lay thorns in the India U.S. relationship.

    Also, while protecting Indian communications from foreign interventions should be a long term Indian goal, in the short term India should openly defy the U.S. wherever its interests are involved. Open up a commision here and there and let Indian bureaucracy do its magic. But continue to do what it needs to and be frank about it with the U.S. behind closed doors. Publicly be diplomatic. What can the US do? There are strategic interests involved and the U.S. needs India as much as vice versa.

    So who cares about what the CIA does to protect Pannun in the present. There are always other opportunities to leverage. After all, with all the communication penetration the US could not do didley squat about India’s Russian oil purchases. And India can always leverage market access and the China factor to negotiate with the U.S. Btw, Rabinder Singh supposedly died in 2016 in a road accident.

    U.S. political power is over stated. Chinese political power is overstated. Indian political power is under stated. India should continue to focus on building its economy and military power. And play political games globally, that it is so adept at playing domestically.

  3. Bhayyanaak Bhangii's avatar Bhayyanaak Bhangii says:

    “A Rabinder Singh (if I recall the name right), was identified as being on CIA’s payroll. Before he could be nabbed, he was spirited away by the Americans — with not a little help from Indian insiders — to Kathmandu, and flown to New York city, where last heard he was reportedly living safe and sound, presumably on the CIA’s dime.”

    CIA just got Rabinder out of India to save their face. Once in US, he was completely ditched by the Uncle Sam. Rabinder’s kids were settled in Yankeeland so he didn’t become a destitute homeless.

    R.A.W bumped him off in Yankeeland a few years ago. Uncle Sam didn’t utter any word of protest because it had already squeezed that lemon (Rabinder) dry.

  4. Vivek's avatar Vivek says:

    I heard that NSA now had capability to record activities of all 5+ billion people with android or iOS running devices 24*7 and run automated analysis on those.

  5. Ayush's avatar Ayush says:

    In my opinion, the most likely(if not the only) source of the breach is/are parasites lurking deep inside our embassies in Western countries or inside South Block. Even the latter would hardly surprise me. The decisions taken in Delhi are almost certainly not intercepted through signals/digital means. https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/govt-s-hack-proof-communication-network-ready-to-roll-115081600713_1.html.
    It’s no secret that most of the kids of IFS babus are parked in the US(including Jaishankar’s). So, them leaking this kind of critical info is expected and completely unsurprising. Besides, every Indian government official uses iPhones, guaranteeing interception from the NSA. A full spectrum counter-intelligence analysis is essential, and it would be best if senior army/IAF officers are also brought under the probe. This can serve as a wonderful opportunity to get rid of the infamous import lobby as well.

  6. Indian's avatar Indian says:

    In this case it looks like CC-1 id either a drunk agent or a junkie.
    Why would any competent person discuss US-India relations with a murder for hire Gupta?

    Why mention about his cases in Gujarat over a phone?

    Such a poor job. Intel circles must be laughing

  7. Modi Kaa Mureed's avatar Modi Kaa Mureed says:

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-67582825

    Say whatever but Modi has succeeded in pissing off the Caucasian leadership of the Anglosphere 😆

    A matter of pride for every Indian 🍻

  8. Amit's avatar Amit says:

    Professor,

    From what I’m learning about how the CIA, FBI AND DEA arrested Nikhil Gupta and how the purported ‘hit operation’ was planned and executed, it seems more likely that this maybe a false flag type operation. Apparently WhatsApp was used to communicate this ‘hit job’! An Intelligence agency such as the R&AW, which is alleged to have such global reach as to carry out such operations in the U.S., is supposed to have communicated on WhatsApp, which many government agencies track. How convincing!

    Far from penetration of Indian communications by the CIA, this case seems more likely to be something created to embarrass India. I’m pretty sure the ‘investigation’ that the Indian government carries out, will come out with these conclusions. The ‘hot’ story will be quietly buried.

  9. Jaam-Baaz Jaat's avatar Jaam-Baaz Jaat says:

    https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202312/1302853.shtml

    Nonsense [Chinese] propaganda. These meetings won’t achieve anything.

  10. Deepak Das's avatar Deepak Das says:

    Thanks for this excellent clarion call to the government or the few good men n women in it. Thanks to Ambassador Smita Purushottam’s tireless endeavours of addressing communications amongst other national security issues. We at SITARA are very proud of her.

  11. Gaurav's avatar Gaurav says:

    Your understanding of communications is deeply flawed. They were using facetime or whatsapp to communicate, which is the stupidest thing you can do. There are ways to mask your voice, location, mac address, ip address. You can setup your own encrypted chat server in no time. If only your brain dead agencies can take the time to aquaint themselves with open source tools available to everyone, you wont be groping in the dark.

  12. Pingback: Respectfully, Shriman PMji, Rajnathji, will you please shut the f**k up! – DisqusBorders

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