Panel discussion aired January 8, 2018 on Rajya Sabha TV programme ‘India’s World’, with former Foreign Secretary Shashank, ex-High Commissioner to Pakistan TCA Raghavan, and yours truly.
Search
Categories
- Afghanistan (193)
- Africa (77)
- arms exports (391)
- asia-Pacific/Indo-Pacific (428)
- Asian geopolitics (936)
- Australia (104)
- Bangladesh (71)
- Bhutan (65)
- Brazil (19)
- Central Asia (217)
- China (645)
- China military (573)
- civil-military relations (532)
- corruption (141)
- Culture (495)
- Cyber & Space (105)
- Decision-making (505)
- Defence Industry (449)
- Defence procurement (110)
- disarmament (89)
- domestic politics (397)
- DRDO (347)
- Europe (483)
- Geopolitics (860)
- geopolitics/geostrategy (213)
- Great Power imperatives (879)
- guerilla warfare (112)
- India's China Policy (577)
- India's Pakistan Policy (444)
- India's strategic thinking and policy (871)
- Indian Air Force (563)
- Indian Army (572)
- Indian democracy (226)
- Indian ecobomic situation (437)
- Indian Navy (480)
- Indian Ocean (309)
- Indian para-military forces (62)
- indian policy — Israel (42)
- indian policy — Israel, Iran and West Asia (142)
- Indian Politics (438)
- Indian state/administration (37)
- Indo-Pacific (165)
- Intelligence (124)
- Internal Security (274)
- Iran and West Asia (141)
- Islamic countries (62)
- Israel (75)
- Japan (158)
- Latin America (33)
- Maldives (58)
- MEA/foreign policy (421)
- Military Acquisitions (511)
- Military/military advice (413)
- Missiles (309)
- Myanmar (47)
- Nepal (31)
- nonproliferation (160)
- North Korea (49)
- Northeast Asia (159)
- NRIs (31)
- nuclear industry (77)
- Nuclear Policy & Strategy (356)
- nuclear power (64)
- Nuclear Weapons (353)
- Pakistan (506)
- Pakistan military (433)
- Pakistan nuclear forces (135)
- Relations with Russia (228)
- Russia (389)
- russian assistance (244)
- russian military (178)
- SAARC (266)
- sanctions (28)
- satellites (42)
- society (669)
- South Asia (913)
- South East Asia (222)
- space & cyber (55)
- Special Forces (113)
- Sri Lanka (63)
- Strategic Forces Command (152)
- Strategic Relations with South East Asia & Far East (234)
- Strategic Relations with the US & West (539)
- Taiwan (49)
- Technology transfer (345)
- technology, self-reliance (87)
- Terrorism (245)
- Tibet (153)
- Trade with China (34)
- UN (84)
- United States (628)
- US. (624)
- Vietnam (128)
- war & technology (60)
- Weapons (556)
- West Asia (153)
- Western militaries (243)
-
Join 939 other subscribers
Subscribe via RSS
Archives
- December 2025 (2)
- November 2025 (3)
- October 2025 (3)
- September 2025 (5)
- August 2025 (2)
- July 2025 (3)
- June 2025 (4)
- May 2025 (6)
- April 2025 (3)
- March 2025 (2)
- February 2025 (2)
- January 2025 (1)
- December 2024 (2)
- November 2024 (4)
- October 2024 (3)
- September 2024 (2)
- August 2024 (3)
- July 2024 (2)
- June 2024 (1)
- May 2024 (3)
- March 2024 (1)
- February 2024 (2)
- December 2023 (3)
- November 2023 (6)
- October 2023 (2)
- September 2023 (5)
- August 2023 (3)
- July 2023 (3)
- June 2023 (3)
- May 2023 (4)
- April 2023 (3)
- March 2023 (2)
- February 2023 (3)
- January 2023 (1)
- December 2022 (2)
- November 2022 (2)
- October 2022 (3)
- September 2022 (5)
- August 2022 (5)
- July 2022 (4)
- June 2022 (3)
- May 2022 (4)
- April 2022 (5)
- March 2022 (10)
- February 2022 (3)
- January 2022 (2)
- December 2021 (4)
- November 2021 (4)
- October 2021 (3)
- September 2021 (3)
- August 2021 (6)
- July 2021 (4)
- June 2021 (3)
- May 2021 (4)
- April 2021 (10)
- March 2021 (5)
- February 2021 (6)
- January 2021 (6)
- December 2020 (5)
- November 2020 (5)
- October 2020 (5)
- September 2020 (8)
- August 2020 (7)
- July 2020 (8)
- June 2020 (10)
- May 2020 (7)
- April 2020 (5)
- March 2020 (5)
- February 2020 (7)
- January 2020 (6)
- December 2019 (5)
- November 2019 (4)
- October 2019 (4)
- September 2019 (6)
- August 2019 (6)
- July 2019 (5)
- June 2019 (8)
- May 2019 (10)
- April 2019 (3)
- March 2019 (9)
- February 2019 (8)
- January 2019 (7)
- December 2018 (9)
- November 2018 (10)
- October 2018 (2)
- September 2018 (12)
- August 2018 (9)
- July 2018 (5)
- June 2018 (7)
- May 2018 (8)
- April 2018 (6)
- March 2018 (3)
- February 2018 (6)
- January 2018 (9)
- December 2017 (6)
- November 2017 (6)
- October 2017 (6)
- September 2017 (8)
- August 2017 (10)
- July 2017 (10)
- June 2017 (9)
- May 2017 (4)
- April 2017 (8)
- March 2017 (8)
- February 2017 (8)
- January 2017 (9)
- December 2016 (12)
- November 2016 (10)
- October 2016 (11)
- September 2016 (11)
- August 2016 (15)
- July 2016 (13)
- June 2016 (15)
- May 2016 (9)
- April 2016 (19)
- March 2016 (11)
- February 2016 (11)
- January 2016 (19)
- December 2015 (10)
- November 2015 (24)
- October 2015 (11)
- September 2015 (8)
- August 2015 (6)
- July 2015 (13)
- June 2015 (14)
- May 2015 (11)
- April 2015 (11)
- March 2015 (3)
- February 2015 (7)
- January 2015 (5)
- December 2014 (4)
- November 2014 (4)
- October 2014 (5)
- September 2014 (3)
- August 2014 (7)
- July 2014 (6)
- June 2014 (9)
- May 2014 (5)
- April 2014 (5)
- March 2014 (4)
- February 2014 (7)
- January 2014 (10)
- December 2013 (8)
- November 2013 (6)
- October 2013 (7)
- September 2013 (13)
- August 2013 (17)
- July 2013 (7)
- June 2013 (11)
- May 2013 (7)
- April 2013 (4)
- March 2013 (6)
- February 2013 (10)
- January 2013 (7)
- December 2012 (6)
- November 2012 (6)
- October 2012 (5)
- September 2012 (6)
- August 2012 (9)
- July 2012 (5)
- June 2012 (5)
- May 2012 (11)
- April 2012 (12)
- March 2012 (11)
- February 2012 (9)
- January 2012 (6)
- December 2011 (8)
- November 2011 (6)
- October 2011 (28)
- September 2011 (2)

It’s ‘cute’ for a lack of a better word, how Shashank thinks that India could obtain parity with China. China has the luxury of pursuing hard national interest because of the non-democratic nature of government. There is no notion of bipartisanship when it comes to implementing policies, since there only exists one party. In India, there will always be a debate about national interest due to the pluralistic character of the population, represented by the parliamentary democratic system. If (not when) a consensus is reached, there is even more delay leading with regards to action/implementation. This is slow, inefficient and non-deterministic way of achieving strategic objectives.
It seems like even if the political will were to manifest itself today, there is so much catching up to do, that we will always be insignificant. The influential lead China has over India will only grow (and if we do our due diligence, perhaps stay constant ).
China can match India dollar for dollar, bullet for bullet. The only ace we have up our sleeves are that of soft-power (cultural roots with South Asian neighbors).
Why do you see the glass half full?
Using your analogy, Pakistan has used its “soft power” (cultural affinity) with Pashtuns/Afghans to inject guerrilla militants to take over its neighbor and to liquidate those opposing its political agenda. In India’s case, our “soft power” with neighbors is literally softer than a baby’s bottom — it’s a featherweight softness, which is quite ineffectual. In Sri Lanka, we previously tried supporting a militant movement, who quickly turned against us because apparently they didn’t feel enough cultural affinity with us to overcome political differences. In Bangladesh, after we liberated them they quickly came under a foreign-assisted military coup which again took a hard line against us all over again, and it’s only relatively recently that they’ve emerged from that, so that the memories of the liberation war are unfortunately faded. In Nepal, China has been able to generate affinity overnight purely by injecting Maoist ideology and class warfare, now followed up by economic investments, while our “age old shared cultural ties” seem to look antiquated and quaint by comparison. Now it’s happening to Bhutan, too.
I personally believe that the carrot must always be accompanied by something else – call it the stick if you want – since you can never be only carrots, because that quickly becomes an appeasement policy. However as Pakistan and China have shown, sometimes the hidden injection needle is more effective than even a stick.
Zalmay Khalilzad has come out with his article on what US should do about Pakistan:
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/its-time-end-pakistans-double-game-23919
So he wants targeted sanctions against specific people in the Pakistani state, along with their family members. That would provide a much sharper level of pain that Pakistanis have never experienced before.
that’s right, the thing is that we have sen on Ukraine issue via a via Russia, Sanctions don’t hit the Polity & Demography of a country as you wish that they SHOULD,when you impose sanctions blindly, all these Paki Jarnails are migrating to Canada after retirement & enjoying money laundering routes via shell cos which they had invested through land deals in pakistan for over a period of time when they were in uniform,now the point is that if those people are sanctioned in the first place for their medical tourism & their children entering the west,not as a patient or a fullbright scholar,this will bering them down to their KNEES,BUT again if Washington does that, it will lose their influence over GHQ & eventually beijing will gain the elbow space & the thing is that most of the people in India don’t beleieve that ,apart from Lip Service,USA will never pursue Indian National Interests at the cost of ruining their own contacts in South Asia,they are already cut-off with Iran.
Nextly, regarding Mr Bharat Karnad’s comment that India must focus more on China and less on Pakistan, then the only solution I can prescribe is that India must change its laws in relation to J&K, so that we can permit people from the rest of India to settle in J&K, thus ending Pakistan’s hopes and designs on that area once and for all. Once that is accomplished, we’ll have less need to occupy ourselves with Pakistan over the Kashmir conflict, and can instead focus more on China. The ability to end the Kashmir conflict is easily within our means, but we have yet to avail ourselves of these obvious choices.
Which is what I have suggested. Abrogation of Article 370 is the first necessary step that I have been advocating for quite some time now. Once this is out of the way and J&K merged fully into the Indian Union, citizens from outside the state can buy property, reside there, and vote.
Agreed, Mr Karnad – change of J&K’s status in relation to Indian Constitution must be achieved, and there should be no hesitation in including national security among the reasons for this. And yet we can see that India’s various non-nationalist parties are guaranteed to immediately obstruct this. So then it becomes a matter of the ruling party and its allies gaining enough seats to pass such a change over the objections of the obstructionist parties. Unfortunately, it’s the Congress Party and Socialists who are the dens of obstructionism (the caste-based parties are increasingly sidelined and are no longer the players they used to be). While the Article 370 arrangement was rooted in India’s desire to settle the territorial dispute over the entirety of Kashmir through diplomatic means, those conditions no longer exist, and therefore India should cut its losses and remove the Kashmir card from the deck.
No, unfortunately, it will also require concurring vote (with a Resolution to be passed) in J&K Assembly.
Reblogged this on securityanalystblog.