China hand behind growls of NoKo paper tiger

The Kim Jong Eun regime in North Korea is the proverbial paper tiger — all sound and fury, and near farcical capabilities when matched up against any of its adversaries in the Far East. It’s another matter that the US has fallen for this by deploying strategic bombers over SoKo, etc. NoKo’s blustery posture, heightened by the “ënhanced” Fusion-boosted fission device tested early February of Pakistani design and provenance and Chinese technical vetting and oversight, is not maintainable, however. (See previous blogs on the NoKo test, etc.) The important thing that’s predictably and wilfully being missed by the international and especially Western-American stratgeic communities is the fact of Pyongyang’s confidence being bolstered by Chinese steel. (Wilful neglect of this factor because otherwise the US would have to confront China head-on, a fight for which it has no stomach.) It is the assurance of Beijing’s military might that propels Eun’s almost clownish escalatory moves. It is China then that’s encouraging NoKo show of bellicosity. To wit this note in the ‘Powerful Nation Forum’ — revealing, eh???! — of ‘People’s Daily’, Feb 19, 2013, which referred to any crisis instigated by NoKo as beneficial to China because it diverts US pressure from China, distracts Japan from the Senkaku dispute theatre, and permits Beijing to step in as mediator-peace-maker. Very, very clever strategy.

About Bharat Karnad

Senior Fellow in National Security Studies at the Centre for Policy Research, New Delhi, he was Member of the (1st) National Security Advisory Board and the Nuclear Doctrine-drafting Group, and author, among other books of, 'Nuclear Weapons and Indian Security: The Realist Foundations of Strategy', 'India's Nuclear Policy' and most recently, 'Why India is Not a Great Power (Yet)'. Educated at the University of California (undergrad and grad), he was Visiting Scholar at Princeton University, University of Pennsylvania, the Shanghai Institutes of International Studies, and Henry L. Stimson Center, Washington, DC.
This entry was posted in Asian geopolitics, China, China military, Europe, Geopolitics, Great Power imperatives, Japan, Northeast Asia, Nuclear Policy & Strategy, Strategic Relations with South East Asia & Far East, United States, US.. Bookmark the permalink.

4 Responses to China hand behind growls of NoKo paper tiger

  1. RK Anuj says:

    Fair analysis about China. But hard to imagine how this simple fact could be missed by the international and especially western- American strategic community. Isn’t it more logical to presume that US deployment of strategic bombers to SoKo, is a veiled warning to China, NoKo just being the puppet that both sides use as proxy. Not foul- mouthing a probable adversary indiscreetly does not imply lacking the stomach to fight. Averting a war by reasonable posturing is NOT necessarily COWARDICE.

  2. RV says:

    Mr. Karnad, I beg to partially differ with your statement: “The important thing that’s predictably and wilfully being missed by the international and especially Western-American stratgeic communities is the fact of…”.. To what do you attribute the absence of mirth in the West, following NoKo’s recent round of testing? The West is very much aware of the yield of the NoKo test (notice the actions of the CTBTO). It’s just they cannot publicly come to terms with it, or to go a step further, they haven’t reconciled with the ground realities at an individual level. After all, it’s been many decades (at the very least) since the West was paid back in its own coin!.

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